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StoneCo Ltd. (STNE)

Technology

Actionable
Fundamental
3
Sentiment
3
Technical
3

Bullish pullback setup: buy limit 11.04 near EMA21/11.00 support; stop 10.82 below the 2026-07-17 regular-session swing low; targets 11.82 and 12.41 with 3.55 R/R.

Analysis as of 2026-06-30· about 2 trading days ago

Company overview

StoneCo Ltd. provides financial technology solutions to merchants and integrated partners in Brazil, facilitating electronic commerce across in-store, online, and mobile channels. The company primarily serves small-to-medium-sized businesses through its proprietary Stone Hubs and offers technology solutions to digital merchants. Founded in 2000, StoneCo Ltd. is headquartered in George Town, Cayman Islands.

Fundamental

fair
Fundamental3
Mixed fundamentals

StoneCo Ltd. shows attractive valuation and profitability but faces elevated credit and balance-sheet risks.

StoneCo looks optically cheap (TTM P/E 4.17x, EV/EBITDA 3.61x) with strong TTM profitability (ROE 29.41%, net margin 24.83%) and strong 5-year revenue growth (32.60% CAGR). However, SEC disclosures highlight material Brazil macro/regulatory exposure and rising credit risk (higher provisions and worsening delinquency metrics in Q1 2026 materials). With mixed risk signals (net debt/EBITDA 1.49x but Altman Z 1.07 and beta 1.60) and inconsistent DCF outputs, the setup is attractive but not low-risk  fundamentalScore 3.

Sentiment

fair
Sentiment3
Mixed / forming

Media sentiment is mildly bullish, but retail sentiment remains cautious with no clear upcoming catalyst.

Near-term attention centers on StoneCo’s **announced** Q2’26 earnings release on **2026-08-13** (neutral direction), but last ~14d media coverage is thin/neutral and the 30–90d sentiment delta is **indeterminate** due to a sparse baseline sample. Legal tools surfaced **no regulator-confirmed investigations** (case discovery was partially CAPTCHA-limited) and Reddit chatter is low-signal, keeping conviction moderate (score 3).

Technical

fair
Technical3
Forming rebound

The stock shows a short-term reversal attempt, but the broader trend remains bearish.

Short-term trend has repaired above the SMA20, SMA50, and EMA21 with MACD back above zero, but the stock is still below the SMA200 and finished the day under daily VWAP, so the chart is constructive rather than fully confirmed.

You’re looking at 2026-06-30 — about 2 trading days ago.

Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.

Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.