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Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX)

Healthcare

No action
Fundamental
2
Sentiment
3
Technical
4

Do Nothing: although the chart is constructive, fundamentalScore is 2 (below the required floor of 3), so the strategy cannot authorize a bullish entry.

Analysis as of 2026-07-06· about 2 trading days ago

Company overview

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biotechnology firm focused on drug discovery through an integrated approach combining biology, chemistry, automation, data science, and engineering. The company is in the clinical development phase with several compounds in trials for conditions such as cerebral cavernous malformation and neurofibromatosis type 2. Recursion also has a robust preclinical portfolio targeting various diseases.

Fundamental

weak
Fundamental2
Speculative fundamentals

Recursion is a cash-rich but loss-making biotech with high clinical and regulatory uncertainty.

Recursion (RXRX) is a cash-rich but loss-making clinical-stage biotech. FY2025 revenue was $74.68M (+26.92% YoY), but profitability remained deeply negative (FY2025 EBITDA -$559.38M; FY2025 free cash flow -$378.28M). Liquidity is solid (TTM current ratio ~5.47; the 10-Q filed 2026-05-06 reports cash and cash equivalents of ~$654.5M and states this should fund operations for at least 12 months), and the 10-K filed 2026-02-25 contains no explicit going-concern qualification. However, SEC risk factors highlight the need for additional financing and high clinical/regulatory uncertainty, and the 10-Q discloses material weaknesses in internal controls tied to acquired operations. With EV/Sales ~17.93x and a -18.40% free-cash-flow yield (cash burn), RXRX screens as a high-risk, expectation-driven equity. fundamentalScore: 2/5.

Sentiment

fair
Sentiment3
Improving sentiment

Sentiment has improved due to Russell-index additions and AI-drug-discovery potential, despite low retail engagement.

Recent coverage turned bullish versus a near-neutral 30–90d baseline, driven mainly by announced Russell index additions and renewed momentum/“inflection point” headlines. With no first-party GlobeNewswire PR catalysts surfaced and no regulator-confirmed legal overhang, the setup is constructive but largely flow/tape-driven and likely only partially priced.

Technical

good
Technical4
Constructive breakout

The stock shows strong short-term momentum and volume, testing the 200-day moving average.

RXRX looks technically strong on a short-term basis: price is above SMA20/SMA50, EMA9/EMA21, and the latest session VWAP, MACD is positive and above signal, RSI14 is 67.3, and ADX14 at 30.94 confirms a real directional move rather than a weak bounce. Volume supports the move with 20-day average dollar volume of 77164282.78 and a much hotter last three sessions, but the chart still has two blemishes: price is still pressing into the 200-day SMA near 4.1 and ATR14 is about 6.8% of price, so the tape remains volatile.

You’re looking at 2026-07-06 — about 2 trading days ago.

Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.

Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.