Radiant Logistics, Inc. (RLGT)

Mixed fundamentals. The balance sheet is the strong suit: Altman Z-Score near 4.2, net debt to EBITDA ~1.7x, interest coverage ~8x, and a covenant-compliant $200M revolving facility freshly extended to 2031 with improved terms. The earnings engine is the weak suit: five-year revenue, EPS and EBITDA growth rates are still deeply negative off the FY2022 freight peak, net margin is ~2%, gross margin is compressing, and FY2026 earnings were flattered by a $6.2M non-cash earn-out gain. DCF models imply 20-30% downside versus the quote, yet the lone analyst's $12 target implies ~38% upside after a September 2026 upgrade. No dividends.

The dominant near-term driver is the Q4 FY2026 earnings print (announced 2026-09-14) that the market demonstrably rewarded — adjusted EPS beat, record revenue, +16% one-day pop — now partially digested, with a fresh Citizens bullish note (2026-09-20, announced, not priced) layered on top. Sentiment delta is a determinate improvement (baseline ≈ +0.05 → scoring ≈ +0.19, moderate confidence; retail indeterminate), but a conflicting-signals moderate flag fired on the Seeking Alpha bearish downgrade (2026-09-16) opposing the bullish sell-side note, so the moderate red-flag cap applies.

Mixed consolidation: close 8.675 holds above the SMA20 (8.57), SMA50 (8.64), SMA200 (7.93) and EMA21 (8.63), and MACD is still positive (line 0.04 > signal 0.01, histogram 0.03) — but the 09-15 earnings spike to 10.20 has faded for five straight sessions, price sits below the fast averages (EMA9 8.69, WMA9 8.77, DEMA14 8.73, TEMA14 8.79), RSI14 is neutral at 50.80, Williams %R is weak at -70.93, ADX14 at 20.70 shows no strong trend, and the MACD histogram has narrowed from 0.10 to 0.03. Some bullish (structure above key MAs, MACD > 0), some neutral/weak (fading momentum) — chart score 3. The trade is suppressed regardless: the 20-day average dollar volume of ~$3.69M is below the $5.0M liquidity floor, so no entry is sized.