Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY)
Consumer Cyclical
- Fundamental
- 3
- Sentiment
- 3
- Technical
- 2
Do Nothing: technicalScore 2/5 — MBLY is below every key moving average (SMA20 8.32 / SMA50 8.56 / SMA200 9.08) with MACD still negative (-0.19) and weak ADX (20), below the 3 floor for any bullish entry. Pullback/oversold limit rejected: countertrend limit — price 7.99 below SMA50 with MACD < 0, and below a declining SMA200 (SMA50 < SMA200) with no momentum reclaim; a bid into a live downtrend, not a dip within an uptrend. Breakout stop rejected: no consolidation base or momentum confirmation to anchor — the nearest settled level above, the 09-21 session high 8.19, is merely the high of a lower-highs drift, and a buy stop there is a countertrend entry with negative MACD, not a momentum breakout.
Company overview
Mobileye Global Inc. develops advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies. Its products include Driver Assist, Cloud-Enhanced Driver Assist, and the Mobileye SuperVision family, which provide real-time road detection and navigation capabilities. The company also offers Mobileye Chauffeur and Mobileye Drive for higher autonomy levels.
Fundamental
fairMobileye shows strong liquidity and cash flow but faces GAAP losses and impairment charges, leading to mixed fundamentals.
Mobileye has strong liquidity (net cash, high current ratio) and positive free cash flow, but remains GAAP loss-making with recurring large impairment charges that distort earnings. Valuation looks reasonable on EV/Sales (~2.55x) and FCF yield (~6.10%), yet rich on EV/EBITDA given low EBITDA; SEC filings highlight supply-chain, innovation/execution, regulatory/safety, and Intel-control risks. Overall: mixed fundamentals (3/5).
Sentiment
fairSentiment is mixed due to positive earnings updates tempered by CEO transition uncertainties.
An announced Q2 results/guidance update (2026-07-23) is a near-term bullish driver (coverage frames it as a beat/raise), but it coincided with an announced CEO succession process (successor TBD), keeping the narrative two-sided despite a modestly improving media tone vs the prior 30–90d baseline (baseline required aggregator-tier coverage due to sparse primary items). Red-Flag Screen: moderate conflicting-signals flag caps the qualitativeScore at 3.
Technical
weakTechnical indicators show a weak downtrend with negative momentum and no actionable bullish setup.
Weak bearish drift: the close 7.99 sits below every key moving average (SMA20 8.32, SMA50 8.56, SMA200 9.08, EMA9 8.09, EMA21 8.28) and below daily VWAP 8.07, with a series of lower daily highs since 09-08. Momentum is still negative — MACD line -0.19 below signal -0.16 below zero, RSI14 41.0, Williams %R -73.1, ADX only 20.0 (weak trend strength). The only constructive note is the narrowing MACD histogram (-0.03 vs -0.07 on 09-16). No actionable bullish setup: a pullback/oversold limit is countertrend (price < SMA50 with MACD < 0, and below a declining SMA200 without a momentum reclaim), and no consolidation base or momentum ignition exists to anchor a breakout stop. Liquidity, ATR, and event windows are all clean, but chart quality is 2/5 — below the 3 floor required for any bullish entry.
You’re looking at 2026-09-21 — more than 2 trading days ago.
Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.
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Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.