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JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK)

Consumer Cyclical

No action
Fundamental
3
Sentiment
4
Technical
4

Do Nothing: the input snapshot price is 25.63, above the $25 ceiling, and avgDollarVolume20 is about $3.02M, below the $5M liquidity floor.

Analysis as of 2026-06-30· about 2 trading days ago

Company overview

JAKKS Pacific, Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes toys, consumables, and electronics globally. It operates through two segments: Toys/Consumer Products and Costumes, offering a range of products from action figures to Halloween costumes. The company sells through various retail channels including toy stores and mass-market retailers.

Fundamental

fair
Fundamental3
Mixed fundamentals

Strong liquidity and low valuation contrast with recent earnings decline and customer concentration risks.

Score 3/5 (Mixed): strong liquidity/low leverage and inexpensive EV/Sales (~0.49) with a decent free-cash-flow yield (~6.21%), but shrinking revenue (5-year CAGR ~-2.10%; FY2025 -17% YoY) and thin margins (TTM net margin ~2.77%, ROIC ~3.41%). SEC filings emphasize customer concentration and licensing dependence, and DCF estimates sit below the current share price.

Sentiment

good
Sentiment4
Modest bullish sentiment

Positive media from licensing news, but retail interest is more product-focused than investment-driven.

The near-term setup is dominated by the 2026-07-23 Q2’26 earnings release (announced), which was framed positively across both company PR and third-party coverage; last ~14d media tone is net bullish but more mixed than the 30–90d baseline. Retail chatter is effectively absent and the legal/regulatory screen shows no investigation hits (with court-case search partially blocked), leaving the Red-Flag Screen clean and the post-earnings follow-through setup intact.

Technical

good
Technical4
Forming pullback

The stock is in a pullback phase, failing to confirm support with low liquidity as a major constraint.

Bullish trend structure remains intact above the 20/50/200-day averages with RSI14 at 59.65 and ADX14 at 46.91, but price is beneath the 9-day average and the MACD histogram is slightly negative, signaling short-term consolidation rather than fresh thrust.

You’re looking at 2026-06-30 — about 2 trading days ago.

Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.

Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.