QuarterHawk — Equity ResearchQuarterHawk — Equity Research

Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW)

Industrials

No action
Fundamental
4
Sentiment
3
Technical
2

Do Nothing: HAYW is in a persistent downtrend (technicalScore 2 of required 3) — price below SMA20/50/200, EMA9/21 and daily VWAP with ADX 31 rising while price falls and MACD negative. The oversold pullback limit is countertrend (price 12.89 < SMA50 14.58 with MACD -0.55) and blocked by the trend-alignment gate; no breakout stop qualifies — a trigger above the settled 09-17 high 13.32 gives R/R 0.97 (< 1.0) and the next settled anchor 13.48 gives 0.81.

Analysis as of 2026-09-17· more than 2 trading days ago

Company overview

Hayward Holdings, Inc., founded in 1925 and based in Charlotte, North Carolina, develops and markets swimming pool equipment and automation systems globally. Its products include pumps, filtration systems, heaters, robotic cleaners, LED lighting, IoT controls, and water treatment solutions, serving both residential and commercial markets through a network of distributors and retailers.

Fundamental

good
Fundamental4
Solid fundamentals

Hayward Holdings shows improving sales, margins, and cash flow, with manageable leverage and strong liquidity post-refinancing.

Score 4/5: Recent results show improving sales, margins, and free cash flow, with manageable leverage and strong liquidity after a 2026 refinancing that extends maturities. Valuation looks reasonable (P/E ~22, EV/EBITDA ~13, FCF yield ~6.7%), but the business remains cyclical and carries typical customer concentration/competition risks plus ongoing litigation.

Sentiment

fair
Sentiment3
Mixed / forming

Media sentiment is mildly positive post-earnings, but retail engagement and clear catalysts are lacking.

Media tone turned mildly bullish after the 2026-07-29 Q2 earnings beat and guidance reaffirmation (announced), but the sentiment delta vs. the prior 30–90d baseline is indeterminate due to a baseline-news timeout and retail chatter is absent. No severe red flags surfaced; a 2026-07-31 court update tied to a prior $20M investor settlement reads as a low-directionality overhang rather than a fresh investigation.

Technical

weak
Technical2
Strengthening downtrend

The stock is in a strong downtrend with oversold momentum, but lacks bullish confirmation for a reversal.

Bounce-only chart in an intact downtrend. Price 12.89 trades below every moving average (SMA20 13.71, SMA50 14.58, SMA200 15.09, EMA9 13.13, EMA21 13.66) and below the 09-17 daily VWAP 13.06, while ADX 31.08 is rising with price falling and MACD is negative (-0.55) below its signal (-0.49) and below zero — a strengthening downtrend, not an early reversal. The only bullish flickers are oversold momentum readings (RSI 32.16, Williams %R -85.79) and a mild MACD histogram improvement (-0.12 to -0.06). No tradable bullish setup meets the score threshold of 3.

You’re looking at 2026-09-17 — more than 2 trading days ago.

Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.

Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.