Groupon, Inc. (GRPN)
Communication Services
- Fundamental
- 2
- Sentiment
- 3
- Technical
- 4
Do Nothing: fundamentalScore is 2 (below required floor of 3); strategy requires fundamentalScore >= 3 before any bullish entry, even though GRPN passes the price, liquidity, and event checks and the chart quality scores 4/5.
Company overview
Groupon, Inc. operates a digital platform that connects consumers with businesses, offering goods and services from third-party merchants and its own inventory. The company operates in North America and international markets, primarily through its mobile apps and websites. Founded in 2008, Groupon is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Fundamental
weakGroupon's fundamentals are weak with negative profitability, revenue contraction, and elevated risk indicators.
Groupon’s recent SEC filings show adequate near-term liquidity (cash $296.1M at 12/31/2025 and $225.5M at 3/31/2026 after repaying the 2026 notes), but operating performance remains weak. Over 2021–2025 revenue contracted sharply (CAGR -15.26%) and profitability is still negative (TTM net margin -20.78%, EBITDA margin -6.25%), with a stressed risk profile (Altman Z -2.76, current ratio 0.81, negative equity). While EV/Sales (1.78x) and a positive FCF yield (5.02%) look cheap, the turnaround is uncertain and risks remain elevated.
Sentiment
fairSentiment is mixed with no clear short-term catalysts and muted media coverage.
GRPN has no clearly scheduled 1–30d corporate catalyst; recent news flow is muted, with the only actionable datapoint in the last ~2 weeks being a reported CEO option exercise/retained shares (insider; announced, likely only partially digested). Media tone looks slightly less negative than the prior 30–90d window that centered on Q1 losses/layoffs and restructuring, and the Red-Flag Screen is clean (no recent litigation/investigation items surfaced).
Technical
goodThe technical setup is strong with bullish momentum and trend indicators, but overhead resistance remains.
GRPN's short-term chart is strong: the latest daily close of 21.12 and live quote of 21.09 are above SMA20/50/200, EMA9/21, and the daily VWAP of 20.39. MACD is positive and back above its signal, RSI14 at 66.58 and ADX14 at 40.16 confirm bullish momentum, but Williams %R at -5.79 and the late-May resistance band near 22.17-22.39 show the move is stretched and not fully clear of overhead supply.
You’re looking at 2026-06-25 — about 2 trading days ago.
Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.
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