QuarterHawk — Equity ResearchQuarterHawk — Equity Research

Fastly, Inc. (FSLY)

Technology

Actionable
Fundamental
3
Sentiment
3
Technical
3

Bullish pullback-to-support limit: FSLY has pulled back for two sessions to support near 23.10 within a young uptrend (price above SMA20/50/200, MACD histogram positive and expanding). Buy limit 23.10 GTC; protective stop 21.24 (pullback ATR floor: 1.0×ATR below entry, wider than the structural swingLow-minus-buffer 22.38); targets 26.82 (+2.0×ATR) and 29.61 (+3.5×ATR); R/R 2.00.

Analysis as of 2026-09-16· more than 2 trading days ago

Company overview

Fastly, Inc. provides an edge cloud computing platform that manages, distributes, and secures client applications globally. It offers Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) solutions, including serverless computing, edge security, and streaming services, catering to industries such as digital publishing, e-commerce, and financial services. Founded in 2011, the company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Fundamental

fair
Fundamental3
Mixed fundamentals

Fastly shows improving growth and cash flow but remains unprofitable with litigation and valuation concerns.

Mixed: an accelerating growth turnaround (Q2 2026 revenue +23%, gross margin 63%, operating cash flow positive, clean SEC posture with no going-concern flags) that still lacks GAAP profitability and carries real overhangs - customer concentration, securities litigation, note-conversion dilution, and heavy insider selling - at a full valuation (~5.5x trailing EV/Sales, ~1.2% FCF yield).

Sentiment

fair
Sentiment3
Mixed sentiment

Media sentiment is mildly positive, but insider selling and litigation concerns create a mixed outlook.

Dominant catalysts are two-sided: a market-rewarded credit-facility derisking (regulator_confirmed via the Aug 17 8-K, still being digested, in-window coverage +0.3) and post-beat AI-compute momentum are offset by a C-level insider-sale cluster, an advancing securities class action (Aug 10 court order) and the 2030 Notes conversion window open through Sep 30; sentiment delta is indeterminate on a sparse scored baseline with retail mention-only, and a moderate red-flag cap applies (confirmed litigation + conflicting catalyst signals).

Technical

fair
Technical3
Early recovery trend

The stock is in an early recovery uptrend, with price above key moving averages and improving momentum.

Score 3: the trend frame is bullish — price 23.54 sits above SMA20 (22.84), SMA50 (22.91), SMA200 (19.07) and both EMA9/21 (~23.2) — and momentum is improving (MACD histogram +0.15, positive and expanding for a third session; RSI recovered from the low-40s to 51.45; Williams %R −33.1). Offsetting that: ADX 17.44 shows the trend is not yet strong, the MACD line (−0.01) has not crossed zero, and today's −3.1% close sits below the daily VWAP (23.83). The two-session pullback to the 23.10 low holds above the SMA50, so a pullback bid here is trend-aligned, not countertrend; with the 1.0×ATR pullback stop floor the R/R is an honest 2.00.

You’re looking at 2026-09-16 — more than 2 trading days ago.

Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.

Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.