Domo, Inc. (DOMO)

Weak standalone fundamentals - flat-to-declining revenue, chronic losses, a breached ARR covenant, a lender forbearance and an explicit going-concern conclusion - offset by a signed $400M asset sale to Progress Software expected to close by late September 2026, estimated to leave roughly $4.84 per share in net cash versus a ~$3.83 price. The situation is binary and event-driven: a completed deal re-rates the stock toward net cash, while a broken deal risks lender acceleration and severe equity loss. Do Nothing.

Dominant near-term dynamic is the pending $400M asset sale to Progress Software (APA 8-K 2026-07-22, DEFM14C 2026-08-24, closing expected within weeks; regulator_confirmed) implying roughly $4.84/share versus the ~$3.83 tape, but the 10-Q filed 2026-09-03 states explicit going-concern substantial doubt (ARR covenant breach, lender forbearance, debt current) — a severe red flag, so the severe cap applies. Sentiment delta is a determinate deterioration at item level, moderate confidence: a deal-rewarded positive baseline (aggregate +0.30) cooled into a mixed-negative scoring window (aggregate -0.06) on the Q2 revenue miss and going-concern formalization, with retail indeterminate.

Chart-based read is mixed: price 3.8259 sits above SMA20 (3.79), SMA50 (3.70), EMA9 (3.80) and EMA21 (3.79) after a rebound from the June 1.84 low, but remains below a declining SMA200 (4.77); RSI14 53.25 and Williams %R -48.25 are neutral; MACD is positive but shrinking (line 0.03, histogram -0.01) and ADX14 23.65 shows a weak, fading trend. That earns a raw chart score of 3, but the score is capped at 2 because this is a partial run (cached upstream stages) with no runDate in the envelope, so per the fail-closed run-date rule there is no trustworthy anchor for chart/event windows; additionally the 20-day average dollar volume (~$4.21M) is below the $5M floor. Score and tradability are separate dimensions; no tradable setup is emitted regardless of chart quality.