Castellum, Inc. (CTM)
Technology
- Fundamental
- 3
- Sentiment
- 4
- Technical
- 3
Do Nothing: avgDollarVolume20 ≈ $375,809 and recent 3-session average dollar volume ≈ $215,276 both fail the $5M liquidity floor and the $1.5M recent-liquidity floor — no entry type (neither a breakout stop nor a pullback limit) can fill at fair prices or hold a protectable stop at this volume.
Company overview
Castellum, Inc. specializes in cybersecurity, IT, electronic warfare, and information operations services. It offers intelligence analysis, software development, strategic program management, and data analytics to federal agencies, financial services, and healthcare sectors. Established in 2010, it is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Fundamental
fairCastellum shows operational improvement and reduced losses but remains unprofitable with significant dilution risk.
Castellum is growing and materially shrinking losses (FY2025 revenue ~$52.9M, +18% YoY; Q1 2026 revenue +23% YoY) while maintaining strong liquidity (cash ~$15.8M in Q1 2026, current ratio ~4.8, low debt). Profitability is still slightly negative (TTM net margin -2.85%, ROIC -5.49%) and free cash flow has been volatile, with significant historical dilution. Net: mixed turnaround setup with meaningful government-contract and customer-concentration risk.
Sentiment
goodRecent contract win and positive media coverage support a favorable sentiment outlook.
Dominant catalyst: announced same-day product win — Castellum's JV secured a position on a $250M U.S. Navy logistics IT MAC IDIQ (GlobeNewswire 2026-06-15, media +0.6, pre-market pop), not priced in; news sentiment delta is indeterminate (sparse baseline, 2 unique on-topic articles) but absolute polarity is positive in both windows, and the Red-Flag Screen is clean with no cap applied.
Technical
fairThe stock is bouncing off recent lows but remains in a larger downtrend with insufficient liquidity for trading.
CTM has stabilized after a multi-month downtrend: price 0.6322 reclaimed the SMA20 (0.61), EMA9/EMA21 (~0.62) and daily VWAP (0.6313), and RSI14 is back above 50 (52.6) with three consecutive up sessions. But the stock remains below the SMA50 (0.64) and SMA200 (0.78), MACD is still negative (line/signal −0.01) with a flat histogram, Williams %R −11.1 sits near the top of its 14-day range, and ADX14 8.5 shows no trend strength at all — a mixed bounce-within-downtrend tape, not a confirmed trend turn. The action is blocked regardless of chart quality by liquidity: avgDollarVolume20 ≈ $375,809 versus the $5M floor, and the last 3 completed regular sessions averaged ≈ $215,276 versus the $1.5M recent-liquidity floor.
You’re looking at 2026-09-21 — more than 2 trading days ago.
Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.
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Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.