Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU)
Basic Materials
- Fundamental
- 4
- Sentiment
- 4
- Technical
- 4
Bullish pullback plan: place a GTC limit buy at 17.61 near breakout-retest support; use 16.65 as the structure stop below the 2026-08-03 regular-session swing low, with 19.23 and 20.45 as upside targets (R/R 1.69).
Company overview
Centerra Gold Inc. is a gold mining company involved in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold, copper, and molybdenum deposits. It operates primarily in North America and Turkey, with key assets including the Mount Milligan mine in Canada and the Öksüt mine in Turkey. Established in 2002, the company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Fundamental
goodCenterra Gold shows strong liquidity and profitability, but faces commodity and jurisdictional risks.
FundamentalScore 4/5: Strong liquidity and a net-cash profile (TTM net debt/EBITDA −0.48; current ratio 2.42; ~US$450.9M cash at 2026-06-30 with an undrawn revolver later expanded to US$600M). Valuation looks inexpensive (P/E 5.76; EV/EBITDA 3.71), but SEC filings emphasize commodity-price and jurisdiction/environmental risks, and the DCF outputs imply downside (about −20% to −49%).
Sentiment
goodMedia sentiment is bullish post-earnings, with minimal retail activity and no red flags identified.
Post-Q2’26 results (raised Öksüt guidance / strong operational performance; announced) plus reiterated shareholder returns (buybacks + dividend; announced) are supportive, and last ~14d media sentiment is bullish; the 30–90d sentiment delta is indeterminate due to a sparse baseline sample. Red-Flag Screen clean based on available sources (no regulator-confirmed investigations surfaced; retail chatter minimal).
Technical
goodThe stock is in a bullish trend, with a pullback entry near support offering a higher-quality setup.
Trend is bullish: price sits above SMA20/50/200, EMA9/21, and daily VWAP; MACD line (0.38) is above signal (0.13) and zero, RSI 61 is constructive, and ADX 44 confirms strength. The setup stops short of a 5 because the 20-day SMA is still fractionally below the 50-day and the stock is pushing into the 18.4-19.0 resistance band, so a pullback entry is cleaner than a chase.
You’re looking at 2026-08-04 — about 2 trading days ago.
Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.
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