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Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN)

Utilities

No action
Fundamental
3
Sentiment
3
Technical
2

Do Nothing: no qualifying bullish setup - chart scores 2/5 in a live downtrend (price 5.24 below SMA20 5.53, SMA50 5.72 and SMA200 6.09; MACD -0.13 below zero; ADX rising to 23.3 while price makes new 52-week lows). A pullback/oversold limit is countertrend and blocked (price below the SMA50 with MACD < 0, and below a declining SMA200 without a momentum reclaim); no breakout stop qualifies either - price is below every MA at new lows with no momentum trigger, and a buy-stop above the 09-17/09-18 swing highs (~5.40) gives R/R 0.96 (< 1.0) against a structure-based stop at 5.19.

Analysis as of 2026-09-21· more than 2 trading days ago

Company overview

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. operates regulated electric, water, and natural gas utility systems across the United States, Canada, Bermuda, and Chile. It serves approximately 1.27 million customer connections and owns generating assets with a gross capacity of about 2.0 GW. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Oakville, Canada.

Fundamental

fair
Fundamental3
Mixed fundamentals

Algonquin's fundamentals are stable but constrained by high leverage and negative free cash flow.

Mixed fundamentals: the regulated-utility base is steady and recent SEC filings show solid liquidity, but leverage is heavy (net debt/EBITDA ~7.2x; interest coverage ~1.7x) and free cash flow remains negative due to ongoing capital spending. Incident-related contingencies and ongoing refinancing needs keep uncertainty elevated, and valuation is only partly supportive (EV/EBITDA ~12x but P/E ~32x).

Sentiment

fair
Sentiment3
Mildly positive sentiment

Sentiment is mildly positive, with recent coverage highlighting Q2 results and a U.S. headquarters move.

The near-term narrative is post-Q2 earnings digestion plus the announced plan to relocate headquarters to Chicago/U.S., which has been framed mildly positively in recent coverage (last ~14d polarity_score ≈ +0.20). Baseline sentiment over the prior 30–90d is also mildly positive (≈ +0.15), and the legal/regulatory scan surfaced no regulator-confirmed investigations or new court cases, though incident/wildfire cost recovery remains a headline risk.

Technical

weak
Technical2
Bearish / oversold

The technical setup is bearish, with prices below all key moving averages and momentum indicators in negative territory.

AQN closed 2026-09-21 at 5.24 (-2.06%), at the low of a persistent downtrend and just above its 52-week low (5.22). Price sits below every moving average - SMA20 5.53, SMA50 5.72, SMA200 6.09, EMA9 5.38, EMA21 5.50, and the daily VWAP 5.27 - with a bearishly ordered stack (20 < 50 < 200 all descending). Momentum is negative: MACD line -0.13 below signal -0.10 below zero (histogram -0.02), RSI14 30.2 weak, Williams %R -98 deeply oversold, and ADX has climbed from ~8.5 to 23.3 while price fell, which is a strengthening downtrend, not a base. The extreme oversold readings (RSI 30, Williams -98) support at most a bounce, not a swing-long: chart quality scores 2 out of 5.

You’re looking at 2026-09-21 — more than 2 trading days ago.

Subscribers saw this then, and see today’s score, verdict and trade plan now.

Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.